Trey Lyles Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2024

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Trey Lyles

NBA · Player Props

Trey Lyles

F · Sacramento Kings

Assists

Sacramento Kings vs San Antonio Spurs · Mar 7, 2024

Updated Mar 8, 2024 2:51 AM EST

Analysis

Trey Lyles Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-200/+150).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 9th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year has been the Kings.
The Kings will likely see a rise in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-speediest tempo road team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the San Antonio Spurs).
The Kings have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games when they are playing at home, opposing squads have come down with 9.5 offensive rebounds per game (7th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the San Antonio Spurs (minimizing possessions that could otherwise bring about additional opportunities for offense).
Trey Lyles is expected to see a rise in productivity across the board as a result of controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Trey Lyles has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's averaged in all games this season.

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