Tre Mann Points - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Tre Mann

G · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Orlando Magic · Mar 5, 2024

Updated Mar 6, 2024 12:21 AM EST

Analysis

Tre Mann Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In terms of three-pointers, the Hornets's superb 38.7% rate of sunk threes while on their home court places 8th-best in the NBA over the last 5 games.
This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting SGs have notched 20.2 points per game (30th-highest in the league) vs. the Magic, designating this as a favorable matchup for offensive productivity.
The Orlando Magic have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (7.4) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Tre Mann has successfully made 87.9% of his foul shot attempts this year, ranking in the 90th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The matchup vs. the Orlando Magic may be a strong one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted an enormous 5.4 free throws per game over the last 10 games (30th-most in the league).

Favors Under

Tre Mann has failed to convert 3.8 three-point attempts per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.1 more than he's missed from 3-point range over the course of the season with the home court advantage.
The 3rd-slowest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Charlotte Hornets.
The Magic have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Charlotte Hornets.
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Hornets rank 2ndworst in in the league with just 8.8 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

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