Tre Jones Points - Player Prop Bet 3/27/2024

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Tre Jones

NBA · Player Props

Tre Jones

G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Utah Jazz vs San Antonio Spurs · Mar 27, 2024

Updated Mar 28, 2024 1:12 AM UTC

Analysis

Tre Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -101 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Spurs.
The Spurs will likely see an increase in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 6th-quickest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Utah Jazz).
Tre Jones has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 17.2% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year.
The matchup vs. Utah is a favorable one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PGs have attempted an enormous 5.0 foul shots per game this year when the Jazz are on their home court (2nd-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Tre Jones has attempted a lowly 7.4 shots from the field per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 10.9 rate last year.
The matchup against Utah is a tough one for three-point shots; when the Jazz have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PGs have averaged the least three-point shots per game in the league this year (1.1).
Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Spurs rank 8thworst in in the NBA when playing on the road with just 9.9 offensive boards per game this year.
Tre Jones will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually decreases player production in all stat categories.

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