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Tre Jones

Tre Jones Points
Player Prop - 3/15/2024

San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets

Tre Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Tre Jones has sunk 50.4% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 10 games at home, 20.3% more than he's made from downtown over the course of the year when playing at home.

The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 3rd-speediest tempo in the league this year.

The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Tre Jones has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 21.9% more than he's sunk over the course of the season while playing at home.

Tre Jones will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court tends to increase player production in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Spurs rank as the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.

The matchup against Denver is a challenging one for three-point attempts; when the Denver Nuggets are away from home, opposing starting PGs have tallied the least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (4.5).

The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home stadium, which ought to reduce plays for the Spurs.

Over the last 10 games when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Nuggets, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.

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