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Tre Jones

Tre Jones Points
Player Prop - 2/7/2024

Miami Heat vs San Antonio Spurs

Tre Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -160.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Tre Jones has sunk 55.6% of his field goals over the last 15 games, 7.6% more than he's sunk in all games this year.

Tre Jones has been on the court for 32.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.0 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season.

The Spurs have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the league over the last 20 games away from their home court.

The San Antonio Spurs have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

This year when they are the visiting team, the other team has snagged 9.0 offensive boards per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat (shortening possessions that could otherwise generate added opportunities for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

As it relates to threes, the San Antonio Spurs's poor 34.2% rate of made threes ranks worst in the league this year.

The matchup against Miami is a hard one; when the Heat are playing at home, they have allowed the 12th-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PGs over the last 20 games (15.2).

Over the last 20 games when they are on the road, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 2.9 foul shots per game (13th-fewest in the league) vs. the Heat, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.

Tre Jones will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium tends to reduce player production for all stats.

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