Trayce Jackson-Davis Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 5/14/2025

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Trayce Jackson-Davis

NBA · Player Props

Trayce Jackson-Davis

F · Golden State Warriors

Rebounds

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors · May 14, 2025

Updated May 15, 2025 1:29 AM EST

Analysis

Trayce Jackson-Davis Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-102/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Trayce Jackson-Davis has totaled 1.8 offensive boards per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league by this metric: 89th percentile.
The Golden State Warriors check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Trayce Jackson-Davis has been on the court for 10.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.7 lower than he's been on the court for in all games this year.
The Warriors have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 15 games as the away team.
The Warriors are expected to see a decline in plays today from sharing the court with the most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Timberwolves).
Trayce Jackson-Davis should suffer a drop-off in output in all facets of the game due to being on the road in this game.

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