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Trae Young

Trae Young Points
Player Prop - 4/18/2025

Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
Trae Young Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Trae Young has tallied 27.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.5 more than he's tallied over the course of the season.
  • Out of all players in the NBA, Trae Young lands in the 96th percentile for 3-point attempts playing at home, posting 8.0 per game this year.
  • Out of all players in the NBA, Trae Young measures in the 98th percentile for playing time, putting up a colossal 36.1 minutes per game this year.
  • The Atlanta Hawks have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA at home this year.
  • The Hawks check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 8th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA when playing at home this year.
  • The matchup vs. Miami is a tough one; when the Heat are the visiting team, they have given up the 10th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting PGs over the last 25 games (17.9).
  • The Heat have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA this year, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Atlanta Hawks.
  • The matchup against Miami may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a lowly 4.0 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Heat are the visiting squad (7th-least in the NBA).

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