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Trae Young Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-125/-105).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -125.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Among all players in the league, Trae Young lands in the 94th percentile for three-point attempts while on his home court, compiling 7.9 per game this year.Trae Young has averaged 35.7 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 95th percentile.The Hawks have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage.The Hawks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 6.2 free throws per game (4th-highest in the league) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers, easily managing to get to the foul line.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Trae Young has accumulated 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's accumulated over the course of the year.With respect to three-point attempts, the 8th-least aggressive team in the NBA while at home over the last 5 games has been the Hawks.The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a tough one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Lakers are on the road, opposing starting PGs have totaled the 5th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.3).The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer plays for the Hawks.Trae Young has converted 4.6 foul shots per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.9 less than he's made in all games this year when playing at home.
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