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Trae Young

Trae Young Points
Player Prop - 12/11/2023

Atlanta Hawks vs Denver Nuggets

Trae Young Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-120/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Trae Young has attempted 24.4 shots per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.

Trae Young has attempted 8.7 threes per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 6.5 rate last season.

Trae Young has averaged 35.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 98th percentile.

The 2nd-fastest pace visiting team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Atlanta Hawks.

The Atlanta Hawks have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the home team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Trae Young has averaged 0.3 technical fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the league when it comes to technicals (99th percentile).

This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting PGs have totaled 4.1 3-point attempts per game (15th-lowest in the league) against the Denver Nuggets, making this a hard matchup.

The Hawks are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 5th-most lethargic pace away offense in the NBA this year (the Nuggets).

Over the last 10 games when they are playing at home, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 3.0 free throws per game (12th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.

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