Trae Young Points - Player Prop Bet 11/17/2023

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Trae Young

NBA · Player Props

Trae Young

G · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Philadelphia 76ers · Nov 17, 2023

Updated Nov 18, 2023 1:04 AM EST

Analysis

Trae Young Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-110/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Trae Young registers in the 95th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 35.3 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year.
Trae Young has committed a lowly 0.8 personal fouls per game this year, quite a bit less than his 1.7 fouls per game last year.
This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 41.4% on 3-pointers (28th-best in the NBA) against the 76ers, making this a good matchup.
The 6th-fastest pace-of-play home team in the league this year has been the Atlanta Hawks.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks rank 9thbest in in the league when playing away from home with 12.3 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

In comparison to last season's 8.3 mark, Trae Young's shots hit have dropped this season to 6.4 per game.
The Hawks will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities today from competing against the 5th-slowest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Philadelphia 76ers).
The matchup against Philadelphia may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a measly 2.7 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Philadelphia 76ers have the home court advantage (11th-least in the league).

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