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Trae Young

Trae Young Points
Player Prop - 4/18/2023

Boston Celtics vs Atlanta Hawks

Trae Young Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-115/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Trae Young has averaged 24.7 points per game when playing away from home this year, putting him in the 95th percentile -- among the NBA's best in this category.

Trae Young has averaged 33.9 minutes per game on the road this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.

The matchup against Boston is a good one for shots from the field; when the Celtics are at home, the opposition's starting PGs have totaled the 26th-most shots made from the field per game in the league this year (7.0).

The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the league over the last 20 games.

The Celtics have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games on their home court, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Hawks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Trae Young has attempted a mere 6.3 shots from downtown per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 8.0 mark last year.

The Atlanta Hawks rank as the least aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of attempts from beyond the arc.

When playing at home, the Celtics have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (13.6) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Celtics is a difficult one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PGs have attempted a lowly 3.7 free throws per game this year (8th-least in the NBA).

Trae Young will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally worsens player performance for all stats.

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