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Trae Young

Trae Young Points
Player Prop - 3/13/2023

Atlanta Hawks vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Trae Young Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Trae Young has scored 27.6 points per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 99th percentile.

Trae Young has tallied 34.4 minutes per game while playing at home this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.

The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA while playing at home this year.

The matchup against Minnesota is a positive one for shots from the field; when the Timberwolves are on the road, the other team's starting PGs have totaled the 30th-most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (16.1).

The Timberwolves have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to raise opportunities for the Hawks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Trae Young has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 0.9 higher than he's tallied overall this season at home.

The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 9th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Timberwolves have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.4) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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