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Trae Young

Trae Young Points
Player Prop - 3/6/2023

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks

Trae Young Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Trae Young has averaged 26.0 points per game while on the road this year, placing him in the 98th percentile -- among the NBA's leaders in this category.

Trae Young has attempted 8.0 treys per game this year, putting him in the 98th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Trae Young has played 34.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 96th percentile.

The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

The Heat have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Trae Young has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's committed over the course of the season.

The Atlanta Hawks have been the 10th-least aggressive offense in the league on the road this year as it relates to three-point attempts.

The matchup vs. the Heat is a difficult one for scoring; opposing starting PGs have tallied the 15th-least shots made from the field per game in the league this year (5.4).

The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 9th-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games.

The Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league this year, which should reduce plays for the Hawks.

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