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Trae Young

Trae Young Points
Player Prop - 3/4/2023

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks

Trae Young Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Trae Young has scored 26.0 points per game on the road this year, placing him in the 98th percentile -- among the NBA's leaders in this category.

Trae Young has attempted 8.0 shots from downtown per game this year, placing him in the 98th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Trae Young has played 34.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 96th percentile.

The Atlanta Hawks have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

The Heat have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Trae Young has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's committed overall this year.

The Atlanta Hawks have been the 10th-least aggressive offense in the NBA when playing on the road this year as it relates to 3-point attempts.

The matchup against the Heat is a tough one for field goals; opposing starting PGs have averaged the 15th-least shots made from the field per game in the NBA this year (5.4).

The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 9th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to reduce plays for the Hawks.

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