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Trae Young

Trae Young Points
Player Prop - 2/28/2023

Atlanta Hawks vs Washington Wizards

Trae Young Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Trae Young has averaged 27.6 points per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 99th percentile.

Trae Young has tallied 34.4 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.

The Atlanta Hawks have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA on their home court this year.

The Wizards have played at the 8th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Hawks.

The Wizards have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (8.6) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Trae Young has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 0.9 more than he's averaged over the course of the season at home.

The matchup against the Wizards is a hard one for 3-pointers; opposing starting PGs have totaled the 14th-least three-point shots per game in the NBA this year (1.9).

The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games.

The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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