Trae Young Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/25/2023

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Trae Young

NBA · Player Props

Trae Young

G · Atlanta Hawks

Assists

Washington Wizards vs Atlanta Hawks · Nov 25, 2023

Updated Nov 26, 2023 12:02 AM EST

Analysis

Trae Young Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Trae Young has compiled 10.7 assists per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA in this category: 100th percentile.
Trae Young has averaged 35.2 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 96th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the league while on their home court this year.
The Wizards have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA on their home court this year, which should increase plays for the Hawks.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks grade out 12thbest in in the NBA when playing at home with 13.1 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

Compared to last year's 0.2 mark, Trae Young's technical fouls have increased this year to 0.3 per game.
On the road, the Wizards have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (16.4) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Trae Young stands to experience a decrease in effectiveness in all stat categories on account of playing away from hom in this game.

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