Tobias Harris Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/16/2025

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Tobias Harris

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Detroit Pistons

Rebounds

Detroit Pistons vs Indiana Pacers · Jan 16, 2025

Updated Jan 17, 2025 4:59 AM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has totaled 5.4 defensive boards per game this year at home, placing him among the hottest players in the NBA by this standard over this stretch: 91st percentile.
Tobias Harris has been on the court for 32.1 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 84th percentile.
The Pistons have played at the 8th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games on their home court.
The Pacers have played at the 7th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 20 games away from their home stadium, which ought to raise opportunities for the Pistons.
Tobias Harris ought to see an increase in efficiency across the board considering controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

The Detroit Pistons have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

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