Tobias Harris Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/4/2024

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Tobias Harris

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Detroit Pistons

Rebounds

Boston Celtics vs Detroit Pistons · Dec 4, 2024

Updated Dec 5, 2024 4:05 AM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has averaged 6.7 defensive boards per game this year on the road, putting him among the best in the NBA by this metric in recent days: 95th percentile.
Tobias Harris has tallied 32.6 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 84th percentile.
The Pistons check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Pistons have played at the 6th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA on the road this year.
The Detroit Pistons will likely see a decline in opportunities today from being pitted against the most sluggish pace-of-play home team in the league this year (the Celtics).
Tobias Harris will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road generally decreases stat production in all facets of the game.

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