Tobias Harris Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/22/2023

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Tobias Harris

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Rebounds

Philadelphia 76ers vs Toronto Raptors · Dec 22, 2023

Updated Dec 22, 2023 11:59 PM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has tallied 5.4 defensive boards per game this year at home, putting him among the best in the league in this category over this stretch: 91st percentile.
Among all players in the NBA, Tobias Harris slots into the 89th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 33.8 minutes per game this year.
The 76ers have played at the 2nd-fastest pace in the league over the last 15 games while at home.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, and the Philadelphia 76ers grade out 14thbest in in the league while at home with 12.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
Tobias Harris will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home usually boosts player performance in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

The 76ers will likely experience a decrease in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-most sluggish tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Raptors).
The Toronto Raptors have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (13.6) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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