Tobias Harris Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/1/2023

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Tobias Harris

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Rebounds

Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers · Dec 1, 2023

Updated Dec 2, 2023 12:32 AM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+230/-325).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ +230.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has compiled 5.3 defensive rebounds per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile -- among the best in the league by this metric.
Tobias Harris has tallied 33.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 90th percentile.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the 76ers rank 8thbest in in the NBA away from home with 12.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.
This year when they are on their home court, opposing teams have captured 10.0 offensive rebounds per game (7th-fewest in the league) vs. the Celtics (shortening possessions that could otherwise bring about further chances for offense).

Favors Under

The 76ers have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year.
The Celtics have played at the 4th-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 10 games at home, which ought to decrease plays for the Philadelphia 76ers.
Tobias Harris will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally decreases player performance in all facets of the game.

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