Tobias Harris Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 5/1/2023

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Tobias Harris

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Rebounds

Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers · May 1, 2023

Updated May 1, 2023 11:16 PM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-155/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -155 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has tallied 2.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's tallied overall this year.
Tobias Harris has been on the court for 31.9 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The Celtics have played at the 8th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games in their home city, which ought to increase possessions for the 76ers.

Favors Under

The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
While playing at home, the Celtics have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.4) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
Tobias Harris will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling tends to reduces player production for all stats.

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