Tobias Harris Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/20/2023

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Tobias Harris

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Rebounds

Philadelphia 76ers vs Chicago Bulls · Mar 20, 2023

Updated Mar 20, 2023 8:06 PM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+125/-155).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has compiled 5.9 defensive rebounds per game this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile -- one of the best in the NBA by this standard over this stretch.
Tobias Harris has tallied 35.0 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
The Bulls have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to more opportunities for the 76ers.
The Bulls have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
Tobias Harris will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court generally boosts stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

Tobias Harris has averaged 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the NBA (76th percentile).
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

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