Tobias Harris Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/2/2023

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Tobias Harris

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Rebounds

Dallas Mavericks vs Philadelphia 76ers · Mar 2, 2023

Updated Mar 3, 2023 12:32 AM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+108/-132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has compiled 5.9 defensive rebounds per game this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile -- among the best in the league by this standard over this stretch.
Tobias Harris has been on the court for 34.8 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, ranking in the 95th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
The Mavericks have allowed the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Tobias Harris has accumulated 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's accumulated overall this season.
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Mavericks have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league this year, which ought to reduce plays for the 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Tobias Harris will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally decreases player performance in all stat categories.

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