Tobias Harris Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/27/2023

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Tobias Harris

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Rebounds

Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat · Feb 27, 2023

Updated Feb 28, 2023 12:06 AM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-128/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +106 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has put up 5.9 defensive rebounds per game this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile -- among the league leaders by this standard over this stretch.
Tobias Harris has averaged 35.0 minutes per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 95th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
When playing on the road, the Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
Tobias Harris will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage tends to raises player production for all stats.

Favors Under

Tobias Harris has committed 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the league (76th percentile).
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league this year, which ought to reduce plays for the 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

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