Tobias Harris Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/25/2023

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Tobias Harris

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Rebounds

Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics · Feb 25, 2023

Updated Feb 26, 2023 1:36 AM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-148/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -142 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has averaged 5.9 defensive rebounds per game this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile -- among the best in the NBA by this metric in recent days.
Tobias Harris has tallied 35.0 minutes per game at home this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
Tobias Harris will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court usually raises player production across the board.

Favors Under

Tobias Harris has averaged 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (76th percentile).
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.
The Celtics have played at the 5th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home court, which ought to decrease plays for the 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
Without the home court advantage, the Celtics have allowed the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.8) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

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