Tobias Harris Points - Player Prop Bet 2/3/2026

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Tobias Harris

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Denver Nuggets · Feb 3, 2026

Updated Feb 3, 2026 10:40 PM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PFs have shot 44.8% on three-pointers (5th-best in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets, identifying this as a good matchup.
The 7th-most up-tempo pace home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Pistons.
The Pistons have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Detroit Pistons rank as the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league this year as it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc.
The Pistons are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities today from being pitted against the slowest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Nuggets).
This year, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.

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