Tobias Harris Points - Player Prop Bet 1/27/2026

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Tobias Harris

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Detroit Pistons · Jan 27, 2026

Updated Jan 28, 2026 4:59 AM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+104/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Detroit Pistons have played at the 9th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Detroit Pistons rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Detroit Pistons rank as the 4th-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to 3-point attempts.
The matchup against the Denver Nuggets is a hard one for 3-point attempts; the other team's starting PFs have tallied the 4th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (3.7).
The Pistons are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from squaring off against the 2nd-most lethargic tempo team in the league over the last 15 games (the Nuggets).
The matchup against the Nuggets is a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.6 foul shots per game this year (least in the league).

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