Tobias Harris Points - Player Prop Bet 12/30/2025

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Tobias Harris

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Detroit Pistons · Dec 30, 2025

Updated Dec 31, 2025 3:23 AM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-124/+108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ +108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against the Lakers is a favorable one for three-point attempts; the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged the most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.6).
The Detroit Pistons rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

As it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 4th-least aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Pistons.
The 7th-slowest tempo road team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Detroit Pistons.
The Lakers have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Pistons.
The matchup against the Lakers may be a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a mere 2.2 free throws per game over the last 15 games (least in the NBA).

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