Tobias Harris Points - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2025

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Tobias Harris

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Detroit Pistons · Dec 23, 2025

Updated Dec 24, 2025 3:19 AM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-133/+113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -131 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ +113.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, opposing starting PFs have shot 52.6% on field goal attempts (6th-highest in the league) against the Kings, identifying this as a favorable matchup.
The Detroit Pistons will likely see a spike in opportunities in this game from competing against the 8th-speediest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games (the Kings).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons rank best in in the NBA with 15.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

When it comes to three-point shots, the Pistons's lackluster 10.8 converted threes per game measures as the 2nd-lowest in the NBA this year.
The matchup against the Sacramento Kings may be a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a mere 2.4 free throws per game over the last 20 games (least in the NBA).

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