Tobias Harris Points - Player Prop Bet 12/3/2025

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Tobias Harris

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Detroit Pistons · Dec 3, 2025

Updated Dec 4, 2025 12:44 AM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled 1.8 threes per game (7th-most in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, identifying this as a positive matchup.
The 4th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Detroit Pistons.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pistons grade out 2nd-best in in the league with 15.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
The matchup vs. Milwaukee may be a good one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a whopping 5.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Milwaukee Bucks are at home (3rd-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

With respect to three-pointers, the Detroit Pistons's poor 11.0 made threes per game comes in as the 2nd-lowest in the NBA this year.
The Pistons are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays today from being pitted against the 3rd-slowest pace home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).

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