Tobias Harris Points - Player Prop Bet 11/29/2025

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Tobias Harris

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons · Nov 29, 2025

Updated Nov 30, 2025 12:54 AM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. Miami is a positive one for 3-pointers; when the Miami Heat are playing at home, the opposition's starting PFs have posted the highest three percentage in the NBA this year (46.4%).
The Pistons will likely see a spike in possessions in this contest from competing against the quickest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Heat).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons rank 5th-best in in the league with 13.5 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

As it relates to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the NBA while playing away from home this year has been the Detroit Pistons.
The Pistons have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA while on the road this year.
The matchup vs. the Heat may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted just 1.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (2nd-least in the NBA).

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