Tobias Harris Points - Player Prop Bet 11/28/2025

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Tobias Harris

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Orlando Magic · Nov 28, 2025

Updated Nov 29, 2025 4:09 AM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-124/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pistons have played at the 9th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games on their home court.
The Pistons check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Pistons check in as the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to 3-point attempts.
The matchup against Orlando is a difficult one; when the Orlando Magic are the visiting squad, they have allowed the least points per game in the league to opposing starting PFs over the last 10 games (15.1).
The Orlando Magic have played at the 9th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should reduce plays for the Detroit Pistons.
Over the last 10 games when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 2.8 foul shots per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Magic, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.

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