Tobias Harris Points - Player Prop Bet 5/1/2025

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Tobias Harris

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs New York Knicks · May 1, 2025

Updated May 1, 2025 11:28 PM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has sunk 47.3% of his attempts from downtown over the last 15 games at home, 11.0% more than he's converted from three over the course of the year while at home.
Tobias Harris has played 38.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.6 higher than he's played over the course of the year.
This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PFs have shot 47.7% on three-pointers (2nd-best in the league) against the New York Knicks, designating this as a strong matchup.
The Pistons have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games while playing at home.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons rank 9th-best in in the league while at home with 11.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

Tobias Harris has averaged 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while at home, 1.6 higher than he's averaged in all games this season at home.
The Detroit Pistons check in as the 10th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA while playing at home this year.
The Knicks have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo in the league away from their home city this year, which should reduce possessions for the Detroit Pistons.

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