Tobias Harris Points - Player Prop Bet 4/19/2025

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Tobias Harris

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Detroit Pistons

Points

New York Knicks vs Detroit Pistons · Apr 19, 2025

Updated Apr 19, 2025 9:45 PM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has converted 1.8 treys per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 higher than he's sunk in all games this year.
Out of all players in the league, Tobias Harris ranks in the 82nd percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 30.6 minutes per game while playing on the road this year.
The quickest tempo away offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Detroit Pistons.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pistons rank 3rd-best in in the league when playing on the road with 13.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

In contrast to last season's 13.1 mark, Tobias Harris's shots taken have dropped this season to 11.0 per game.
The matchup against New York is a difficult one for threes; when the Knicks are at home, the opposition's starting PFs have shot for the lowest three percentage in the league this year (18.6%).
The Knicks have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Pistons.
This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (5th-lowest in the league) vs. the New York Knicks, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.
Tobias Harris will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium generally reduces player production for all stats.

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