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Tobias Harris

Tobias Harris Points
Player Prop - 4/13/2025

Milwaukee Bucks vs Detroit Pistons

Tobias Harris Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -123.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Tobias Harris has tallied 31.1 minutes per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 84th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.

This year, opposing starting PFs have totaled 1.8 three-pointers per game (7th-highest in the league) against the Bucks, making this a good matchup.

The Detroit Pistons have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 20 games without the home court advantage.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Pistons grade out 5th-best in in the NBA when playing away from home with 13.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Tobias Harris has attempted a measly 11.1 shots per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 13.1 rate last year.

The Pistons check in as the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 25 games with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc.

The Bucks have played at the 7th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Pistons.

Over the last 25 games, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (lowest in the league) against the Bucks, making it tough to get to the foul line.

Tobias Harris will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court usually lowers player performance in all facets of the game.

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