Tobias Harris Points - Player Prop Bet 4/11/2025

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Tobias Harris

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Milwaukee Bucks · Apr 11, 2025

Updated Apr 12, 2025 2:29 AM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has converted 50.3% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 10 games at home, 14.0% higher than he's converted from three over the course of the year on his home court.
Tobias Harris has been on the court for 31.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 86th percentile.
The matchup vs. the Bucks is a positive one for 3-point shots; opposing starting PFs have averaged the 7th-most 3-pointers per game in the NBA this year (1.8).
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
The Pistons check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Pistons have been the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 25 games when it comes to 3-point attempts.
The Detroit Pistons will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 7th-slowest pace team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Bucks).
Over the last 25 games, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (fewest in the league) against the Bucks, struggling to get to the free-throw line.

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