Tobias Harris Points - Player Prop Bet 3/21/2025

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Tobias Harris

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Detroit Pistons · Mar 21, 2025

Updated Mar 22, 2025 2:59 AM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+100/-132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has made 54.0% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games, 7.1% more than he's put through the net in all games this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Tobias Harris rates in the 83rd percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 31.3 minutes per game away from home this year.
The matchup vs. the Mavericks is a good one for shot attempts from the field; opposing starting PFs have averaged the most FG attempts per game in the league this year (16.0).
The quickest pace offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Detroit Pistons.
The Mavericks have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should boost opportunities for the Detroit Pistons.

Favors Under

As it relates to getting to the free-throw line, the Detroit Pistons's unimpressive 20.8 free throws per game while on the road comes in as the 10th-worst in the NBA this year.
The matchup against Dallas is a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.5 foul shots per game this year when the Dallas Mavericks are at home (3rd-least in the league).
Tobias Harris is expected to suffer a drop-off in productivity across the board considering playing away from home in this matchup.

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