Tobias Harris Points - Player Prop Bet 3/19/2025

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Tobias Harris

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons · Mar 19, 2025

Updated Mar 20, 2025 2:29 AM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -132 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has successfully made 54.2% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, 7.6% higher than he's sunk overall this year.
Among all players in the league, Tobias Harris comes in at the 83rd percentile for playing time, compiling an enormous 31.2 minutes per game away from his home court this year.
The Detroit Pistons have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing away from home.
This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 46.4% on 3-pointers (best in the NBA) vs. the Heat, resulting in a strong matchup.
The fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Pistons.

Favors Under

The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league at home this year, which should decrease plays for the Detroit Pistons.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, but the Detroit Pistons rank 8thworst in in the league when playing away from home with a mere 10.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.
The matchup against the Miami Heat may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a lowly 1.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (2nd-least in the NBA).
Tobias Harris will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to reduce stat production in all stat categories.

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