Tobias Harris Points - Player Prop Bet 3/17/2025

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Tobias Harris

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Detroit Pistons

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Detroit Pistons · Mar 17, 2025

Updated Mar 17, 2025 11:59 PM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has made 44.1% of his treys over the last 15 games, 12.2% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year.
Tobias Harris has averaged 31.4 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Detroit Pistons.
The Detroit Pistons rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Tobias Harris has accumulated 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 0.8 higher than he's accumulated overall this season on the road.
This year when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled 3.4 three attempts per game (5th-lowest in the league) against the Pelicans, identifying this as a tough matchup.
As a team, the Detroit Pistons have been bad at getting to the free-throw line away from their home court: 9th-worst in the NBA this year, totaling a measly 20.7 free throw attempts per game.
Tobias Harris will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling generally lowers player performance in all facets of the game.

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