Tobias Harris Points - Player Prop Bet 3/1/2025

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Tobias Harris

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Brooklyn Nets · Mar 1, 2025

Updated Mar 2, 2025 4:59 AM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has made 7.0 baskets per game over the last 10 games, 1.7 higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season.
Tobias Harris has sunk 46.7% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games, 16.2% more than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the season.
Tobias Harris has played 32.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 85th percentile.
The 2nd-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Detroit Pistons.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons rank 4th-best in in the NBA as the home team with 13.9 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

The matchup against Brooklyn is a challenging one; when the Nets are away from home, they have given up the least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PFs this year (11.4).
The Pistons will likely see a decline in plays in this game from being pitted against the slowest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Brooklyn Nets).
As a team, the Pistons have been bad at getting to the charity stripe: 8th-worst in the NBA this year with just 21.0 foul shot attempts per game.
The matchup against Brooklyn is a hard one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted just 1.9 foul shots per game this year when the Nets are the visiting team (least in the NBA).

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