Tobias Harris Points - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2025

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Tobias Harris

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Denver Nuggets · Feb 28, 2025

Updated Mar 1, 2025 3:34 AM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has sunk 56.2% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games at home, 5.6% higher than he's converted in all games this year with the home court advantage.
Tobias Harris has averaged 32.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 85th percentile.
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting PFs have averaged 44.8% on 3-pointers (5th-highest in the league) against the Denver Nuggets, creating a strong matchup.
The Pistons have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the league over the last 20 games.
The Detroit Pistons are expected to see an increase in possessions today from being pitted against the 4th-fastest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Denver Nuggets).

Favors Under

The Detroit Pistons rank as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the league while at home this year when it comes to treys.
This year, opposing starting PFs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, finding it difficult to draw fouls.

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