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Tobias Harris

Tobias Harris Points
Player Prop - 2/26/2025

Detroit Pistons vs Boston Celtics

Tobias Harris Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-109/-119).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -119.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Tobias Harris has converted 57.4% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games at home, 7.1% higher than he's put through the net in all games this year while playing at home.

Tobias Harris has sunk 43.3% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 13.2% higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this year.

Tobias Harris has been on the court for 32.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 85th percentile.

The Pistons have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Detroit Pistons check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In regard to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Detroit Pistons's feeble 12.2 made threes per game when playing at home places 3rd-lowest in the league this year.

This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 14.5 points per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Celtics, resulting in a challenging matchup for offensive output.

The Celtics have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home city, which should reduce plays for the Pistons.

This year when they are at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 3.1 foul shots per game (8th-fewest in the league) vs. the Boston Celtics, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.

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