Tobias Harris Points - Player Prop Bet 2/21/2025

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Tobias Harris

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Detroit Pistons

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Detroit Pistons · Feb 21, 2025

Updated Feb 22, 2025 3:54 AM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+135/-180).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ +135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has converted 6.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's converted over the course of the season.
Tobias Harris has been on the court for 30.9 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The 3rd-speediest pace away team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Pistons.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to lead to more plays for the Detroit Pistons.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons grade out 5th-best in in the league with 14.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting PFs have averaged 13.0 points per game (4th-lowest in the league) against the San Antonio Spurs, marking this as a tough matchup for offensive efficiency.
In regard to getting to the charity stripe, the Detroit Pistons's subpar 19.3 free throws per game while playing away from home comes in as the 2nd-worst in the league this year.
Tobias Harris will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling tends to lower player performance in all facets of the game.

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