Tobias Harris Points - Player Prop Bet 2/12/2025

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Tobias Harris

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Detroit Pistons · Feb 12, 2025

Updated Feb 13, 2025 3:59 AM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-135/+105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has successfully made 7.2 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 higher than he's converted overall this season.
Tobias Harris has played 30.9 minutes per game away from home this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The Pistons have played at the quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing on the road.
The Pistons are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Bulls).
The Pistons check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled 11.5 field goal attempts per game (3rd-fewest in the league) against the Bulls, making this a difficult matchup.
As a team, the Detroit Pistons have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the charity stripe while playing away from home: worst in the league this year, drawing a measly 18.7 free throw attempts per game.
Tobias Harris will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court usually worsens stat production for all stats.

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