Tobias Harris Points - Player Prop Bet 2/7/2025

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Tobias Harris

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Philadelphia 76ers · Feb 7, 2025

Updated Feb 8, 2025 12:39 AM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has sunk 7.4 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.7 higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year at home.
Out of all players in the NBA, Tobias Harris comes in at the 84th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 32.0 minutes per game this year.
This year, the other team's starting PFs have shot 40.8% on three-pointers (4th-highest in the league) vs. the 76ers, branding this as a favorable matchup.
The Pistons have played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Detroit Pistons check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Tobias Harris has shot and missed 3.4 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's missed from beyond the arc over the course of the year.
The Pistons will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this game from facing the 3rd-most sluggish tempo offense in the league this year (the Philadelphia 76ers).
In regard to getting to the free-throw line, the Pistons's subpar 20.5 free throw attempts per game places 5th-worst in the league this year.

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