Tobias Harris Points - Player Prop Bet 1/13/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Detroit Pistons

Points

New York Knicks vs Detroit Pistons · Jan 13, 2025

Updated Jan 14, 2025 2:35 AM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-123/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has converted 54.1% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 8.7% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season.
Among all players in the league, Tobias Harris lands in the 82nd percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 31.1 minutes per game while playing away from home this year.
The 5th-quickest tempo visiting offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Detroit Pistons.
The Detroit Pistons check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
Tobias Harris has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 13.2% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. New York is a tough one for threes; when the Knicks are at home, opposing starting PFs have put up the lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (18.6%).
The Knicks have played at the 5th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should reduce possessions for the Detroit Pistons.
As a team, the Pistons have been poor at getting to the charity stripe while playing away from home: 2nd-worst in the league this year with just 18.8 foul shot attempts per game.
This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the New York Knicks, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.
Tobias Harris will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court usually decreases player production for all stats.