Tobias Harris Points - Player Prop Bet 1/6/2025

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Tobias Harris

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Portland Trail Blazers · Jan 6, 2025

Updated Jan 7, 2025 4:00 AM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Tobias Harris lands in the 77th percentile for field goal attempts, totaling 11.2 per game this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Tobias Harris measures in the 83rd percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 31.9 minutes per game this year.
The Pistons have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games while at home.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons rank 8th-best in in the NBA on their home court with 11.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
Tobias Harris figures to see a spike in effectiveness in all facets of the game on account of possessing the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

In regard to scoring, the Detroit Pistons's subpar 110.4 points per game playing at home comes in as the 8th-fewest in the league this year.
This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 29.6% on threes (4th-lowest in the league) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers, designating this as a tough matchup.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games away from their home stadium, which should reduce possessions for the Pistons.
The matchup vs. Portland may be a hard one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PFs have attempted just 2.5 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Portland Trail Blazers are on the road (2nd-least in the NBA).

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