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Tobias Harris

Tobias Harris Points
Player Prop - 1/4/2025

Detroit Pistons vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Tobias Harris Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Tobias Harris registers in the 82nd percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 31.8 minutes per game this year.

The 7th-quickest tempo home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Pistons.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pistons grade out 8th-best in in the NBA at home with 11.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 6.0 foul shots per game (6th-most in the league) vs. the Timberwolves, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

Tobias Harris is expected to see a rise in productivity in all facets of the game considering controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Relative to last year's 6.4 mark, Tobias Harris's shots from the field converted have decreased this year to 5.0 per game.

The Detroit Pistons have been the 5th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league with the home court advantage this year.

The matchup vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves is a hard one; they have given up the least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PFs this year (14.5).

The Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Pistons.

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