Tobias Harris Points - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2025

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Tobias Harris

NBA · Player Props

Tobias Harris

F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Charlotte Hornets · Jan 3, 2025

Updated Jan 4, 2025 1:30 AM EST

Analysis

Tobias Harris Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-121/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -121.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tobias Harris has played 31.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 82nd percentile.
This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 55.8% on shots from the field (highest in the NBA) vs. the Charlotte Hornets, identifying this as a good matchup.
The Pistons have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, and the Pistons grade out 10th-best in in the NBA with 11.1 offensive boards per game this year.
Tobias Harris ought to get a boost in effectiveness in all stat categories in light of having the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Tobias Harris has converted just 4.8 field goals per game this year, significantly less than his 6.4 rate last year.
The Detroit Pistons rank as the 5th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA with the home court advantage this year.
The Hornets have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should reduce plays for the Pistons.
The matchup vs. Charlotte is a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted just 2.6 foul shots per game this year when the Charlotte Hornets are the visiting team (3rd-least in the NBA).

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