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Tobias Harris

Tobias Harris Points
Player Prop - 1/1/2025

Detroit Pistons vs Orlando Magic

Tobias Harris Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Tobias Harris ranks in the 82nd percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 31.6 minutes per game this year.

The Detroit Pistons have played at the 7th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The Pistons rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Tobias Harris figures to see a spike in effectiveness in all stat categories as a result of holding the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In contrast to last season's 6.4 rate, Tobias Harris's shots converted have decreased this season to 4.8 per game.

With respect to offense, the Detroit Pistons's feeble 111.2 points per game while at home settles in as the 10th-lowest in the NBA this year.

The matchup vs. Orlando is a hard one; when the Orlando Magic are the visiting squad, they have given up the least points per game in the league to the other team's starting PFs over the last 10 games (15.1).

The Magic have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should reduce possessions for the Pistons.

Over the last 10 games when they are playing at home, opposing starting PFs have attempted 2.8 foul shots per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Magic, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

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